The signal and the noise is a very interesting book with mixed success. Once were getting the big stuff right coming to a better i. Somewhere in london, a film director is dying of cancer. It will be a supremely valuable resource for anyone who wants to make good guesses about the future, or who wants to assess the guesses made by others. In 2009, meche returns to her native mexico city to attend the funeral of her father, whom she hasnt seen in years. The signal and the noise by nate silver, 9780141975658, available at book depository with free delivery worldwide. Ireland by terry deary, 9781407110226, available at book depository with free delivery worldwide. More information, more problems this book was recommended by one the many books related emails i get each day.
The signal and the noise was first published in paperback in the united states on february 3, 2015. His lifes crowning achievement, his greatest film, would have told the story of a european village as the last hour of 999 ad approached the midnight that the villagers were convinced would bring with it armageddon. The signal and the noise explains why so many predictions end up being wrong, and how statisticians, politicians and meteorologists fall prey to masses of data, when finding important signals is mostly a matter of. Why so many predictions failbut some dont silver, nate on. Rachel maddow, author of drift a serious treatise about the craft of predictionwithout academic mathematicscheerily aimed at lay readers. The signal and the noise summary august 5, 2016 april 6, 2020 niklas goeke entrepreneurship, self improvement 1sentencesummary. I cant remember what the particular theme was for its recommendation, although im sure it had something to do with how political forecasting data could fail. His ambitious new book, the signal and the noise, is a practical handbook and a philosophical manifesto in one, following the theme of prediction through a series of case studies ranging from hurricane tracking to professional poker to counterterrorism.
Silvers coverage is polymathic, ranging from poker and earthquakes to. We offer over 20 million books 14 million english books, all at great prices with free delivery on all orders. One of wall street journals best ten works of nonficti. The story the data tells us is often the one wed like to hear, and we usually make sure that it has a happy ending. It reached the new york times paperback best seller list, ranked no. Neil gaiman and dave mckean present their masterpiece, signal to noise. His ambitious new book, the signal and the noise, is a practical handbook and a philosophical manifesto in one, following the theme of. The chapter on baseball is exceedingly uninteresting and unnecessary. Welcome to book depository, an international online book retailer. Based in the uk, we operate in over countries displaying books in. Silvia morenogarcia is the author of signal to noise, named one of the. Pdf the signal and the noise download read online free.
The signal and the noise by nate silver is a 2012 penguin publication. This is a rambling book with tons of anecdotes that amount to very little in terms of giving the reader serious tools or concepts that can help telling the signal apart from the noise. And yet if the tragedy of julius caesar turned on an ancient idea of prediction associating it with fatalism, fortunetelling, and superstitionit also introduced a more. Predictions work best when they are 1 probabilistic i. Discover book depositorys huge selection of mathematics books online. The signal and the noise summary four minute books. Nate silvers the signal and the noise is the soul of a new machine for the 21st century.
1163 97 932 1454 797 626 789 337 393 718 190 189 449 897 856 1332 579 1065 123 1361 1208 631 367 464 578 627 240 997 1178 1320 1246 1178 866 1417 939 156 475 394 281 1335 998 274 1455 526 964 709 542 1013 1408 491